Latest talk is saying that the GEFS Ensemble (ex-GFS) might just be the best accuracy this year. Greatest accuracy was the ECMWF,an EU group. It's been the best since 2006 and I tend to the GEFS and ECMWF as two main indicators. See both below.  Other models include the GFDL and HWRF. The "Official" forecast cone/track is usually an average of the model runs with weight given to above.

NEW The best Computer Model Run Track Animations - Press PLAY button within

ECMWF   •    GEFS GLOBAL  •   GFS GLOBAL

GFS HURRICANE MODEL •  HWRF HURRICANE RADAR MODEL